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6/14/2009 MBS/ABS 终于go through the end of the tunnel 王子归来!最近经济有非常明显的好转, market给于非常positive的feedback, LCDX, IG/HY CDX, loan flow name已经恢复到几乎lehman collapse之前的level, structured credit 方面CMBS spread继续collapse, liquidity就不用说了,colleague Mark说他能在10mins之内卖掉所以cmbs portfolio。 CDO方面,CLO, AAA to mid 80s; AA doubles to 40s, A to 20s.....大家都开始risk taking。。。。可惜只能暂时先sell 一些abs cdo,许多hedge fund都给bid,而且很慷慨. 这一轮up很大程度上是technical, fundemental上其实没有什么实质变化,这些paper本来就应该至少值那些price.
sector方面感觉许多IB enhance了wealth management,因为许多retail consumer资金涌向市场.Blackrock合并了BGI, 成为asset manager老大,直接补充相对渺小的equity,mutual fund, ETF。在正式close的前一天,和backrock人士phone 过,他也只是说可能合并,好小心.
也感觉到许多hedge fund开始expand
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